Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Tue Sep 08 17:26:14 +0000 2020

Likes

280

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Florida's likelihood of being the tipping-point state has declined a fair bit as it has moved away from the national averages. Until fairly recently, it was basically tied with PA for No. 1. Now it's more in a group with WI, MN, MI, AZ and NC. https://t.co/viTrjbCt4b — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So rather than either unskew this poll (sure, there are crosstabs you can critique... but that's true in every poll!) *or* treat it as the new normal, it's probably best to toss it into the model, which can figure out how much to hedge it against other polls and other data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Still, this polling movement in Florida—even if it exaggerates the situation a bit—makes Biden's strategy less robust. It had the potential to deliver a knockout blow. Now, it's one of a number of Plan B states (along with AZ, NC) if Biden doesn't hold his leads in the Midwest. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated