Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Sep 07 21:11:38 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @maggiekb1: Adding that, from what experts tell me, no model should be used to make projections beyond 3-4 weeks out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think it's good to say there's *potential* for a fall spike in COVID cases. But something gets lost in translation and the headline and lede make it seem like there's a consensus of experts definitively predicting a fall wave, when I don't believe there is any such consensus. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To answer @paulkrugman's question: yeah, there's nowhere near enough data to know what a record decline in Q2 followed by a record rebound in Q3 is supposed to do to an incumbent's re-election chances. So be careful about confident proclamations about this. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated