Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Sep 07 21:09:01 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think it's good to say there's *potential* for a fall spike in COVID cases. But something gets lost in translation and the headline and lede make it seem like there's a consensus of experts definitively predicting a fall wave, when I don't believe there is any such consensus. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Can't say I'm in love with articles like these. Models are all over the place for what to expect from COVID in the fall, and have wide uncertainty ranges. The article heavily cites the IHME model while ignoring others that have been more accurate so far. https://t.co/Knw5NwoWkN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @maggiekb1: Adding that, from what experts tell me, no model should be used to make projections beyond 3-4 weeks out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Retweet Hibernated