Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sun Sep 06 23:13:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @DavidLJarman: I'm worried you may not be talking to enough people in enough different locations? It's too bad there's no way to use a c… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 6, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn It's very close to 50/50 though (Trump's small edge comes from incumbency at this point.) Err I should say in the popular vote. I can see an argument that the prior should be calibrated off the tipping-point state instead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In some ways, the answer to "why is Biden polling so well in Wisconsin?" may be surprisingly simple. Let's say Biden is able to win back, I don't know... 40% of Obama-Trump voters. FWIW, that's about what it would take to get him to +7/8 nationally, assuming nothing else changes. — PolitiTweet.org

For all the focus on Wisconsin, Biden has been polling conspicuously well there as compared to the other swing stat… https://t.co/D5PU9UIImm

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated