Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sat Sep 05 21:23:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For now, most of Trump's ~30% winning chances stem from the fact that there are still 2 months to go and the race doesn't have to tighten that much for the Electoral College to be competitive. But if the polls still look like this in Nov. his chances will be lower (~10% or so). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's good to have conversations about "shy" Trump voters and other reasons why the polls might be wrong, but the presence of these conversations is a bearish sign for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another thing that doesn't make any sense about betting markets is that their state-by-state odds are very close to 538's projections but their national projections are quite different. https://t.co/qpmkmQfImF https://t.co/Yy9OXpC5N5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 5, 2020 Hibernated