Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 25, 2021

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Fri Sep 04 15:26:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In some ways the obsession with "shy Trump voters" shows how cloistered elites are because there are many places in America where you would face no social stigma whatsoever for showing outward support for Trump (often the opposite, in fact). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In this example, the prior shows Trump winning Arizona because if the race were tied nationally, Arizona is (slightly) red-leaning and therefore Trump would be favored there. Note that the prior gets relatively little weight, though (18% and it will fall to 0% by Election Day). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Do I believe a graphic designer in an upscale college-educated suburb might be inclined to conceal her Trump support? I don't know. Maybe. But those aren't the places where Trump tends to beat his polls. Rather, he wins **places that are already Trump-y** by huge margins. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 4, 2020 Hibernated