Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2021

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Wed Sep 02 16:27:10 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bunch more national polls in, a pretty good batch for Biden. YouGov has Biden back up to +11 after having fallen to +6 post-RNC IBD/TIPP (live caller) has Biden +8 (RV) Rasmussen has Biden +4 which is more like 7/8 with their house effect. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/n0tHwm0NaT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You'll sometimes see people say stuff like "Biden MUST with the popular vote by 3 points or he's toast". Not true; at 2-3 points, the Electoral College is a tossup, not necessarily a Trump win. OTOH, the Electoral College is not really *safe* for Biden unless he wins by 5+. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you look carefully at the dates here, especially for YouGov and Morning Consult which have polled after the RNC twice, can start to make the case that Trump got a little bounce that's already receding a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated