Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 02 16:11:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Chance of a Biden Electoral college win if he wins the popular vote by X points: 0-1 points: just 6%! 1-2 points: 22% 2-3 points: 46% 3-4 points: 74% 4-5 points: 89% 5-6 points: 98% 6-7 points: 99% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten It's all going to come down to the recount in Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You'll sometimes see people say stuff like "Biden MUST with the popular vote by 3 points or he's toast". Not true; at 2-3 points, the Electoral College is a tossup, not necessarily a Trump win. OTOH, the Electoral College is not really *safe* for Biden unless he wins by 5+. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated