Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 15, 2021

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Wed Sep 02 12:38:21 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, our national polling average was at Biden +8.4 when the DNC began, peaked at Biden +9.3, and is now at Biden +7.2 after quite a few national polls overnight. You'd still like a couple more live-caller polls, but it should be a decently robust estimate. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/thejXk0vJ0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We are *finally* getting at least one live-caller national poll tomorrow... Selzer & Co./Grinnell College. Most likely a couple more before the end of the week, although others may wait until after Labor Day. Selzer & Co. is A+ rated and had the race at Biden +4 in March. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW this is similar to the educated guesses about convention bounces our model made ahead of time. It would have expected a slightly higher peak for Biden (10-11) although not really a lot of between-convention polls to measure it. But winding up at ~7 post-RNC is right in line. https://t.co/SZHwlMSyTI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated