Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Sep 01 16:00:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So again, there's a balancing act here, but we think it's appropriate to make fairly conservative choices *especially* when it comes to the tails of your distributions. Historically this has led 538 to well-calibrated forecasts (our 20%s really mean 20%). https://t.co/8oqu1OmvAz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

When will the next major "realignment" be? Probably not this year. But, maybe! Or there could be some one-off weirdness caused by the economy, by COVID-19, or by an abrupt increase in mail voting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm convinced that half the reason Team Clinton didn't invest enough resources in WI and MI is because they were worried about dumb pundits saying stuff like "OMG! WHY IS CLINTON SPENDING TIME IN WISCONSIN?!?". Biden seems to be avoiding this mistake. — PolitiTweet.org

whatever you think of how Minnesota might vote, it only voted for Clinton by 1.5 points in 2016 and it has a lot of… https://t.co/vEFhw3SZhf

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated