Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Sep 01 11:37:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's not really much/any evidence of shy Trump voters at all. He only beat his polls by ~2 points in 2016, which can pretty easily be explained by not properly weighting by education + late-deciding voters breaking toward him. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While one should always be alert to the possibility of systematic polling errors in either direction, this (alleging that polls are biased by 5-6 points against Trump because of shy Trump voters) is completely insane. https://t.co/ESIk22qjZl https://t.co/AcWwaWojD9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also worth noting that polls in the midterms showed no bias in either direction. Nor did Trump over-perform his polls in the 2016 primaries. Nor do nationalist parties have any history of outperforming their polls in a large sample of European elections. https://t.co/KejtGLldTD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated