Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Mon Aug 31 20:24:31 +0000 2020

Likes

388

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our *forecast* really hasn't shifted that much, though. Trump's Electoral College chances are 32%, up from 30% before there were any post-RNC polls and 27% two weeks ago before the DNC. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Now our polling average starting to move a bit more aggressively, to Biden +7.1. Keep in mind that's still a fairly sizable lead, though (about Obama's margin of victory over McCain in 2008). https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/HelxcDRWJT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The forecast has been fairly stable for a few reasons. 1. It tries to adjust for convention bounces 2. It also hedges against (often volatile) post-convention polling by using some pre-convention data, too 3. It expected the race to tighten to begin with — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated