Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Aug 31 20:22:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Now our polling average starting to move a bit more aggressively, to Biden +7.1. Keep in mind that's still a fairly sizable lead, though (about Obama's margin of victory over McCain in 2008). https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/HelxcDRWJT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Part of it I guess is you don't look smart by pointing out the obvious, the obvious being that the candidate who has been ahead in the polls all year (Biden) is the favorite, though the question of *how much* of a favorite requires a lot of technical and domain expertise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our *forecast* really hasn't shifted that much, though. Trump's Electoral College chances are 32%, up from 30% before there were any post-RNC polls and 27% two weeks ago before the DNC. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated