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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Aug 31 00:53:08 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is smart, but I'd add one more wrinkle: I think one of the flaws in the current conventional wisdom is in the assumption that the focus on crime/protests/unrest will either benefit Trump or have no effect, when it's plausible it benefits Biden instead. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think people sense that the issue environment has changed in a way that *could* benefit Trump: crime/unrest is mo… https://t.co/x4znOKoVnB

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@haralabob Well then hopefully other people can read 538 and make some money by betting on our forecasts. I can't do so myself. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The nearest proxy for this issue environment is June, when COVID-19 numbers were getting better and there was a lot of focus on both the protests and the looting that was occurring in some cities. Trump *lost* ground in the polls during that period. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated