Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Aug 31 00:15:10 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@haralabob Not really. My employer doesn't let me bet on them, I wouldn't think it would be ethical to do so anyway since our numbers can move markets, there's not a ton of liquidity, and there aren't that many elections so it's high-volatility. But, their prices are usually pretty dumb. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Political betting markets have become so dumb as to perhaps be a contrarian indicator at this point. — PolitiTweet.org

I have no idea what the betting markets see right now. I mean maybe they're right, but another conclusion is that j… https://t.co/58ijfsdfYJ

Posted Aug. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@haralabob Well then hopefully other people can read 538 and make some money by betting on our forecasts. I can't do so myself. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated