Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 5, 2021

Created

Fri Aug 28 20:43:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've said this before, but part of what's confusing about this presidential race is that because of Trump's Electoral College edge, there isn't all that much of middle ground between "landslide" and "highly competitive". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm skeptical that winning the convention ratings race matters all that much. But, this would be consistent with voters feeling like they've heard enough from Trump and not being terribly receptive to new messages (although there wasn't that much new last night anyway). — PolitiTweet.org

Overnight ratings for the fourth and final night of the conventions. Six networks combined (FNC/CNN/MSNBC/ABC/CBS… https://t.co/hAq8aMClYx

Posted Aug. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If Biden wins by 9 points, his current margin in polls, it's the largest popular vote victory since Reagan over Carter in '80. And his map would be impressive. Something like the Obama '08 map plus Arizona and quite possibly Georgia and Texas (though without Indiana). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 28, 2020 Hibernated