Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Aug 28 16:13:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Based on polls that ask whether people are more or less enthusiastic about voting than usual, we would currently project turnout of around 62% of the voting-eligible population, which would tie with 2008 for the record since 18-year-olds gained the right to vote. Was 60% in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@studentactivism @jonathanchait @owasow And if Trump tries to crack down on the protests or exploit them for political gain, that may bring more people out and help them reach that critical mass. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I actually think that might be lowballing it a bit; this method would have slightly underestimated turnout in both 2016 and 2018 as there may be something about the Trump era that makes people feel *compelled* to vote even if they aren't *enthusiastic* about it per se. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 28, 2020 Hibernated