Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@jbarro There's a discussion in here. Convention bounces have declined in general, likely because of higher partisanship, but it could also reflect other factors (e.g. changes in polling practices). The model assumed there would be rather small bounces this year. https://t.co/nVtlpQscbB https://t.co/qCzgjUH4tp — PolitiTweet.org