Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Aug 27 16:03:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's not to say there are no risks here for Democrats. Maybe there is some degree of quiet backlash building to the protests (although note that support for BLM is still equal/higher than pre-protests). But if Trump tries to loudly exploit that, it could backfire. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is relevant too. In Wisconsin, while there's been a big decline in support for BLM, evaluations of Trump's handling of the protests is just as bad as before. https://t.co/kb1tMrizOl — PolitiTweet.org

So for example, there's this very interesting finding in the last MU poll showing support for BLM plummeting in Wis… https://t.co/FngPajbHiU

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't know if there's a *consensus*, but my impression of the research on this topic is that the single *most* important factor is just that SARS-CoV-2 was introduced very early in NYC (probably early February), perhaps with multiple introductions. https://t.co/FJSAJeXRDU — PolitiTweet.org

The best thing about the pandemic is there’s still no consensus as to why exactly things got so bad in Greater NYC… https://t.co/yWgXNtJ4tj

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated