Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Aug 26 16:52:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Still, it's not hard to envision the race tightening, and indeed the 538 model did expect the race to tighten somewhat, which is one reason why it has continued to give Trump much better odds than other models. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are some counterarguments too. Even if COVID cases are decreasing, the downstream consequences (i.e. disruption to schools) are still piling up and will likely continue to do so thru November. The Post Office could be a big negative story for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't know. A lot of incumbents around the world have been reasonably popular despite COVID-19 including in countries where it has been handled poorly. Boris Johnson's approval ratings are ~breakeven. Modi is very popular. Bolsonaro's #'s are middling but rebounding a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

"If 42 percent of Americans approve of a Republican president under these conditions, it is at the very least not o… https://t.co/NgbI0UzGwF

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated