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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sat Aug 22 13:05:37 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I was sort of the opposite, LOL. I kind of assumed during that time Americans wouldn't put up with the sort of lockdowns they had in China. Then by March I thought lockdowns would last a few weeks then it would be a real struggle to get people to abide by them after that. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

The notes I have seem to suggest I thought we were going to see a really draconian response with martial law and se… https://t.co/6s06lEzZdN

Posted Aug. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As a result of the adjustment, Biden has gone from a 72.6% chance of winning the Electoral College to a 72.5% chance in our forecast. So, yeah, not a big deal. But we wanted to disclose it nonetheless. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You might say "it *was* a real struggle" and I guess it was in some states but others locked down for months. And there's some tension between how lockdowns poll (popular!l) and people's revealed preferences. But overall Americans have been more lockdown-tolerant than I expected. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 22, 2020 Hibernated