Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Aug 20 16:54:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris If Democrats are far more likely than Republicans to VBM, then they're going to be (i) disproportionately hurt by higher rejection rates but (ii) disproportionately helped by added convenience. Somehow you're assuming (i) but NOT (ii), which is ridiculous. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris But VBM didn't used to have partisan effects *at all*! Now it does! So the convenience *will* have partisan effects in a world where Democrats are vastly more likely to cast ballots by VBM. *That's* the flaw in your analysis. And it's a BIG flaw, to be honest. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris But I'm done with this. You seem more invested in winning Twitter arguments than in thinking clearly through a problem. I'm not going to engage with you any more. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated