Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Aug 18 20:36:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People cite Trump as a counterexample. But he arguably proves the point. The GOP lost the House popular vote in the midterms by 9 points. And now they're on track (obviously polls can change) to lose both the House and presidential popular votes by 8-9 points again. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* Actions that excite your own party's base often also rile up the other party's base. So even if the net impact on swing voters was neutral (which it often *isn't*) these actions won't necessarily result in a net increase in turnout. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I wonder if a message of "if you're going to hang out, hang out in smaller groups, outdoors or in well-ventilated spaces, and not in crowds or large parties" would be more effective than just telling students to "socially distance" & hoping for the best. https://t.co/RcaY886F9z — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2020 Hibernated