Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Aug 14 22:21:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @gelliottmorris @SethS_D Right. As you can see in the follow-up tweet, her margins in the tipping points in polls-plus were pretty similar to where we have Biden projected this year, if not perhaps a half-point or a point better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @gelliottmorris @SethS_D Actually, let me amend that ... that's in polls-only. In polls-plus (more comparable to the 2020 version) she was at +5 in PA, +8 in WI, +8 in MI, +4 in NV, though only +2 in FL. But overall, that's pretty similar to if not a bit better than where we have Biden this year. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @gelliottmorris @SethS_D Or you can compare individual states. We had Clinton at +5.4 in PA in at this point in 2016 and 81% to win, whereas this year we have Biden +5.0 in PA and 75% to win. So it's pretty darn similar. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated