Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Aug 14 21:41:57 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @gelliottmorris @SethS_D Also, I don't understand why there's any theoretical basis for ignoring COVID! Models should look at the real world and figure out how to reflect it! If there had been a COVID-15, we'd certainly have considered that in '16. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @gelliottmorris @SethS_D We have Biden at +5 in our current tipping point state, Pennsylvania. So, that's decently similar. Also, there are uncertainties created by COVID and it is correct for a model to account for them because that's part of the real world! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @gelliottmorris @SethS_D We haven't "added a whole bunch of uncertainty". The world has added it. And it's our job to look at reality and figure out how we can measure it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated