Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Aug 14 20:36:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While people need to be are of the fact that Trump still has decent winning chances (27% in our model), there's also about a 33% chance that he suffers the biggest popular vote loss for an incumbent since Hoover (exceeding Carter in 1980). The uncertainty runs in both directions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Tonyhkchow: Our first 2020 Election Forecast update with @NateSilver538! We'll be doing more and more of these as Election Day gets cl… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @gelliottmorris @SethS_D We didn't make a lot of changes. It's equivalent to like a new version of the EA Madden franchise. 90% the same product. The 2020 version would have produced a nearly identical forecast in 2016 as our 2016 model. It would have had Clinton at 70% on Election Day, for instance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated