Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Aug 12 21:01:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We randomly* pick from among 40,000 simulations to show as the sample maps so there are going to be weird 1-in-10,000 or 1-in-40,000 outliers sometimes! That's part of the "fun" of our new interactive. — PolitiTweet.org

In what world do LA and GA go blue as ME, NH, and NC go red? https://t.co/gPXMdr5F6T

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Note that **if** he holds his current lead, Biden's win probability will begin to increase in our forecast with the passage of time. But that will be a very gradual effect at first and then might get more noticeable as of say mid-late September. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* It's not completely random, there are a few constraints, but close enough that very weird maps will come up once in a while. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated