Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Aug 12 19:43:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris @SethS_D So if no polls used education weighting, you'd shift all of the polls toward Trump? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris @SethS_D It's incorporated into overall uncertainty. The model basically assumes that polls are a pretty rough guide until you're clear of the conventions by ~30 days or so. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris @SethS_D So if one poll weighted for education and 100 others did not, it would adjust the 100 polls toward that one poll? I'm not saying I dislike it, it's not that different than a house effects adjustment. Could be smart. But it does smack of fighting the last war a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated