Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Aug 10 23:40:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck Yeah, it's fairly inelastic. Unlike AZ (or FL or TX or GA) though it has a Democratic governor, which I can imagine proving to be relevant this year. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Hmm, it feels like South Bend is the closest airport to the Chicago metro area that people would not immediately associate with the Chicago metro area. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The blindingly obvious lesson of 2016 for election modelers is "it's super easy to build an overconfident model, so think carefully about sources of uncertainty" but sometimes people are endlessly creative in finding ways to avoid the obvious lessons. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 11, 2020 Hibernated