Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Thu Aug 06 17:59:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hot take: Whether or not the predictions are important unto itself, working on predictive modeling is one of the best ways to improve your overall quantitative intuition and toolkit and so most social scientists would benefit from doing more of it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias @cwarshaw My next contention: someone reading the peer-reviewed literature on this topic, or how political scientists have discussed it in public forums, would incorrectly come to the conclusion that it's far greater than 25%. Do you agree? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's a fairly big gap once you get beyond Georgia/Texas/Iowa/Ohio to the next set of states that Biden could win in a landslide. Our model actually thinks Alaska is his next-most-likely win after that, though South Carolina is also a decent candidate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2020 Hibernated