Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Tue Aug 04 21:33:35 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BrendanNyhan @jonmladd Since you think the Abramowitz model is strong, happy to agree to make it the standard by which we judge these and settle the debate. Here is its prediction for the the electoral vote this year: Biden 996, Trump -453 I'll take the under on Biden. https://t.co/Nb2HFqaLR3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BrendanNyhan @jonmladd Since you think the Abramowitz model is strong, happy to agree to make it the standard by which we judge these and settle the debate that way. It's prediction for the the electoral vote this year is: Biden 996, Trump -453 I'll take the under on Biden. https://t.co/Nb2HFqaLR3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Deleted Hibernated Just a Typo

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonmladd @BrendanNyhan I'm saying that, in addition to doing a poor job of out-of-sample prediction, the fundamentals models also do a poor job of contributing to our understanding of what drives elections because the conclusions are based on heavily overfit data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated