Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Aug 04 21:09:38 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BrendanNyhan @jonmladd The fundamentals models have performed **terribly** out of sample and they're also a **complete mess** this year. I don't think this is adequately recognized by you or other people in the profession. https://t.co/uzhRzj9s2F — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The reason we generally prefer polls>economy is because different modeling choices on the economy can yield radically different answers (i.e. a Biden landslide if you look at GDP or a Trump landslide if you look at income) while different polling averages produce similar answers. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BrendanNyhan @jonmladd I really wish you'd responded in more detail to that article that I wrote 8(!) years ago. It's pretty devastating and pretty detailed, and was the culmination of months' worth of research. Has never really been adequately engaged with by you or other "fundamental"-ists. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated