Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Jul 29 17:56:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's how our model uses national polls. And perhaps it's a good heuristic for other people might think about national polls, also. Pay attention to the trend, not to the level. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @jbview: This is the big one. Very hard to know what the information environment will be like whenever this happens - including who will… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In other words, I don't really care if Biden us up 8 nationally or whatever. I care about the numbers in Wisconsin, Florida, etc. But if Biden has gained 2 points in national polls, it's likely that he's also gained ~2 points in Wisconsin & Florida since they were last polled. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated