Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Jul 28 00:52:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @wiederkehra: So I promised more behind-the-scenes of the @FiveThirtyEight 2020 forecast. Today I'll walk you through the development of… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

My point is more that I wouldn't be wanting to use an overly precise or deterministic prior when there is a ton of economic uncertainty (we'd guess ~3x higher than normal) and different variables say different things about the state of the economy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly reported deaths Today: 428 + 631† Yesterday: 558 One week ago (7/20): 362 Newly reported cases T: 55K Y: 62K 7/20: 57K Newly reported tests T: 761K Y: 856K 7/20: 711K Positive test rate T: 7.2% Y: 7.2% 7/20: 8.0% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated