Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Mon Jul 27 20:07:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheStalwart There were likely far more unrecorded deaths (both as a proportion of all deaths and in absolute numbers) in March/April than there are now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Since most swing states tend to have diverse-ish demographics that resemble the country in microcosm (though there are some exceptions like New Hampshire) that tends to make them easier to poll. This is also why national polls are usually more accurate than state polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheStalwart NYC is instructive because it counts probable deaths, which most places don't (although an increasing number do). In mid-April, probable deaths were 36% of total (confirmed+probable) deaths in NYC. Now that has fallen to 20%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated