Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 25, 2021

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Mon Jul 27 17:37:24 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I am more skeptical that Trump would get credit for it, though, especially because the cumulative pain from COVID & lockdowns may still be getting worse by Nov. even if cases/deaths are declining. Possibly also the economic fallout, especially if Republicans screw up on stimulus. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I do think the punditry slightly underrates the chance of 1a) (i.e. the COVID situation getting better) just because it's been pretty hard to predict then the ebbs and flows in COVID spread and the COVID models have wide ranges for what'll happen by November 3. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump's approval rating drops below 40% (albeit just barely, to 39.9%) for the first time since the shutdown. https://t.co/Vfmzd6B2ps https://t.co/J1rdODq4QU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2020 Hibernated