Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Thu Jul 23 18:06:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Rather small gap at the moment between tipping-point state polls and national polls: National: Biden +7.7 Florida: Biden +7.5 New Hampshire: Biden +7.1 Michigan: Biden +7.0 Pennsylvania: Biden +6.7 Wisconsin: Biden +6.6 Nevada: Biden +6.5 https://t.co/nWUo9X5F4y https://t.co/D0IccKEzCL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias It's possible they believe that. But, of course, parties almost always come up with electoral excuses/rationales when they want to achieve policy or ideological goals and given the current state of the pandemic that is among the thinner fig-leaves. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I wouldn't totally sleep on Nevada and New Hampshire as factors, by the way. Yeah, Nevada's getting bluer, but it was a very good state for Trump in the (2016) primary and a poor one for Biden. And New Hampshire is weird and nearly went for Trump in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated