Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Thu Jul 23 01:51:36 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Namely, we use a stricter house effects adjustment; the model assumes that these polls are biased until proven otherwise. And it weights them less. However, for boring technical reasons, the model wasn't catching all the partisan polls and adjusting them like it was supposed to. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As an FYI, there have been a fairly high number of polls with partisan sponsors in the presidential race this year. (Usually these are more common in races for Congress.) We DO include these polls in our averages, which is a change from the past, but with an adjustment. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So as an FYI, we fixed that tonight, which slightly changed the averages in some states. Also, here is our newly-updated polls policy, which explains what is considered a partisan poll. https://t.co/37N8bDqsnB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated