Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Tue Jul 21 02:03:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I used to sometimes use a variable called "ldsevang" in our models where you could add together Mormon and evangelical voters as a proxy for religiously conservative states. But I don't know if that works anymore. Evangelicals shifted toward the GOP in 2016; Mormons against them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@florian_krammer @WesPegden Agree with both of you. In my field at least, people can have a pretty good understanding of stuff that's fairly complex so long as you avoid confusing jargon. And they also have a pretty good sense for when they're not be leveled with. So no point in not being straightforward. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I guess that was a dull tweet. But I do think people underrate the chance that Utah could become a swing state in another couple cycles, between Mormons not being super found of Trumpian politics and the non-Mormon voters there being pretty liberal. And look at these age splits: https://t.co/fmYmBXGYCL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 21, 2020 Hibernated