Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Tue Jul 21 01:53:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@florian_krammer @WesPegden Agree with both of you. In my field at least, people can have a pretty good understanding of stuff that's fairly complex so long as you avoid confusing jargon. And they also have a pretty good sense for when they're not be leveled with. So no point in not being straightforward. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hmm, I'm not sure how this plays out in practice. But in theory, if a vaccine is coming sooner rather than later, that ought to make the public *more* willing to undertake other interventions in the meantime, since they don't have an indefinite duration. https://t.co/PpqFSsEZCC https://t.co/glvqkcpPeb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I used to sometimes use a variable called "ldsevang" in our models where you could add together Mormon and evangelical voters as a proxy for religiously conservative states. But I don't know if that works anymore. Evangelicals shifted toward the GOP in 2016; Mormons against them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 21, 2020 Hibernated