Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

Created

Sun Jul 19 15:51:12 +0000 2020

Likes

186

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One other thing to be aware of is that most national polls currently are conducted among registered voters, while most state polls are among likely voters. So unless you're accounting for that, you may overestimate the state poll vs. national poll gap. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In fact, this is something we re-examined and tweaked in our averages this year. We still make a likely voter adjustment. But it sticks more to a prior (which in this case, assumes a *slight* Trump gain among LVs) because it's not very predictable how it evolves over the cycle. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's sort of interesting which COVID-19 studies get widespread media attention. Not very well correlated (in fact, perhaps negatively correlated) with the ones the subject-matter experts I follow seem to find compelling. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2020 Hibernated