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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Fri Jul 17 22:58:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We've seen that states and people *will* change their behavior when cases are noticeably increasing (say R >= 1.2 or so). But, there's a lag before that improves the situation, during which time things can get pretty out of hand. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Thread. The US never really decided between suppression (keep R<1) and mitigation (take limited measures to e.g. keep hospitals from overflowing; basically, Sweden) and these regionally-driven flare-ups are the somewhat inevitable result. — PolitiTweet.org

Trevor Bedford @trvrb

I still think we're generally on course for continued flare-ups and concomitant societal responses to these flare-u… https://t.co/rOkyO3419a

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @trvrb: @NateSilver538 I'd agree with this framing. Long fuse on infections becoming reported cases and even longer fuse on resulting de… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2020 Retweet Hibernated