Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Fri Jul 17 22:54:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Thread. The US never really decided between suppression (keep R<1) and mitigation (take limited measures to e.g. keep hospitals from overflowing; basically, Sweden) and these regionally-driven flare-ups are the somewhat inevitable result. — PolitiTweet.org

I still think we're generally on course for continued flare-ups and concomitant societal responses to these flare-u… https://t.co/rOkyO3419a

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In general, there's more evidence of a plateau in new cases Arizona than in Florida, and more in Florida than in Texas. But these states aren't the only sources of concern. Other parts of the Southeast are problems, for instance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We've seen that states and people *will* change their behavior when cases are noticeably increasing (say R >= 1.2 or so). But, there's a lag before that improves the situation, during which time things can get pretty out of hand. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated