Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Fri Jul 17 12:47:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One "fun" thought: the period from, oh, say, Nov. 3 through Jan. 20 could be critical to building out the US's vaccine infrastructure, and yet that's a period where you could have a lame-duck president and one can imagine Trump being less than helpful under those circumstances. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But testing *is* increasing (a record test day) and the positive test rate has been fairly steady, raising some question of whether we're plateauing or still rising. It may be a mix: Plateaus in some of the worst-affected states, but rises elsewhere. https://t.co/QuTnMuFuSe — PolitiTweet.org

Cases are moving up not only because of the known hotspot states, but because the surge is broadening. Nine states… https://t.co/xY6MkLanql

Posted July 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

THREAD: In forecasting Trump's fate, one needs to be careful as there is a fair amount of uncertainty as to what the trajectory of the pandemic will look like by November. Overly precise predictions of COVID numbers in X country/state by Y date have generally not fared well. — PolitiTweet.org

On the legitimate election: Trump staked everything on ignoring the virus and reopening the economy. He lost. The v… https://t.co/CAr2fG8Fnp

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated