Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Mon Jul 13 14:23:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To illustrate the point: a prediction market estimates that 99.7% of people who had COVID will still be immune after 6 months. If that were true (have no idea) would be pretty good news but you'd ALSO expect to see reports of reinfection among the 0.3%. https://t.co/Oio648p7t6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, be wary of anecdotal stories about people getting "re-infected". Some may be true. Some may be false positives or people that were sick the whole time. COVID is weird; the immune system is weird. Things that *can* happen aren't necessarily *common*. https://t.co/WCIIeOoyqb — PolitiTweet.org

The @voxdotcom article is a perfect example of doing what @BillHanage and I wrote in Feb. would cause trouble with… https://t.co/07HcDEwp83

Posted July 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ameliatd: Sometimes I write a story for @FiveThirtyEight where the words are just dressing for a fantastic chart. The Supreme Court's o… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 13, 2020 Retweet Hibernated