Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2020

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Mon Jul 13 12:58:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I read a lot about COVID-19 and immunity and if your priors aren't something like "there's immunity in the short run and then it's complicated and uncertain in the long run" then I'd suggest you read more about it. A lot of headlines and tweets about this subject are misleading. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@timmarchman @karenkho Yeah. I do sort of wonder if spring 2021 could be an inflection point. Either we're making progress or people are ready to give up. I worry a lot about December/January/February, especially in states where it's too cold to do stuff outdoors. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, be wary of anecdotal stories about people getting "re-infected". Some may be true. Some may be false positives or people that were sick the whole time. COVID is weird; the immune system is weird. Things that *can* happen aren't necessarily *common*. https://t.co/WCIIeOoyqb — PolitiTweet.org

The @voxdotcom article is a perfect example of doing what @BillHanage and I wrote in Feb. would cause trouble with… https://t.co/07HcDEwp83

Posted July 13, 2020 Hibernated