Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 11, 2020

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Thu Jul 09 23:47:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And let's not forget that in March/April, the numbers came down because of lockdowns. Although states are reimposing some restrictions and people are being more careful, those aren't really happening now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The @youyanggu numbers now say that about as many Americans are infected as in the March/April peak. Yes there is more testing now, but he's trying to estimate the *true* number of infections and they've now caught up (and are still rising). https://t.co/Qxu8rSPoV1 https://t.co/NFIUjzDTte — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To the extent things slow down it might just be because enough people have had it that it eventually lowers R. His model estimates that by Labor Day, almost 20% of Arizonans will have had COVID, which is not far from some of the worst-affected areas (NYC, Sweden, Northern Italy). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated