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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 11, 2020

Created

Thu Jul 09 13:57:29 +0000 2020

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755

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95

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Periodic reminder that the rate of increase (R) is not the only thing that matters for measuring COVID, and often not the most important thing. The volume of active cases is really important too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Plus, a record number of cases and the highest positive test rate since May 6. Just not really any good news here. The numbers in the Northeast still look pretty good, I suppose, but it's been a long time since that region was the main source of concern. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

e.g. There's some evidence R has declined to 1.1-1.2 in some badly-affected states (AZ/TX/FL) from 1.3-1.4. So cases are increasing, but not quite as rapidly. THAT's STILL REALLY BAD since they're increasing from a high base. A plateau (R=1) from a high base would also be bad. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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