Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 22, 2020

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Sat Jun 27 14:49:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe Texas is different because it's *so* many Electoral Votes and it's a bit hard to predict (historically low turnout but that may be changing, plus the COVID situation there) that it's worth taking a flier on. And I do think campaigns need plan for a multitude of scenarios. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So Biden can win GA. But in the scenarios where he wins GA, he'll probably already have won FL and/or NC, meaning the Electoral College may already have become a lost cause for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

After all, any election where the race is competitive in November requires a substantial change from today, with Biden up +2 or +3 (or less) instead of +9. If there's a big shift back toward Trump, it may not be uniform across states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated