Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2020

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Fri Jun 26 13:49:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The relationship between the current rise in COVID cases and the partisanship of a state/city/county is much weaker and more complicated than the commentariat seems to assume. — PolitiTweet.org

We're all in this together. https://t.co/1oYKeKbWQK

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Overall, the bevy of polls today are pretty consistent with what you'd expect given a 9-10 point Biden lead nationally. But the big news is that MI, WI and PA are starting to poll closely in line with the national averages, instead of being R-leaning as in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's a graph comparing current Rt to Trump's margin of victory in 2016. See a relationship? There is one, but it's weak and disappears once you account for weather and how many people had COVID before (the virus is spreading faster in places that weren't hit hard before). https://t.co/SdXe4IcgHZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated